Saturday, February 15, 2025

Weekly Sporto bookmarks (weekly)

  • tags: generative-AI AI

    • In some sense, AGI is just another tool in this ever-taller scaffolding of human progress we are building together. In another sense, it is the beginning of something for which it’s hard not to say “this time it’s different”
    • In a decade, perhaps everyone on earth will be capable of accomplishing more than the most impactful person can today
    • . The cost to use a given level of AI falls about 10x every 12 months, and lower prices lead to much more use
    • Moore’s law changed the world at 2x every 18 months; this is unbelievably stronger. 
    • We are now starting to roll out AI agents, which will eventually feel like virtual co-workers.
    • Or 1 million of them. Now imagine such agents in every field of knowledge work.
    • imagine it as a real-but-relatively-junior virtual coworker. Now imagine 1,000 of them
    • Agency, willfulness, and determination will likely be extremely valuable. Correctly deciding what to do and figuring out how to navigate an ever-changing world will have huge value; resilience and adaptability will be helpful skills to cultivate. AGI will be the biggest lever ever on human willfulness, and enable individual people to have more impact than ever before, not less.
    • We expect the impact of AGI to be uneven.
    • But public policy and collective opinion on how we should integrate AGI into society matter a lot; one of our reasons for launching products early and often is to give society and the technology time to co-evolve.
    • While we never want to be reckless and there will likely be some major decisions and limitations related to AGI safety that will be unpopular, directionally, as we get closer to achieving AGI, we believe that trending more towards individual empowerment is important; the other likely path we can see is AI being used by authoritarian governments to control their population through mass surveillance and loss of autonomy.
    • increasing equality does not seem technologically determined and getting this right may require new ideas.

Posted from Diigo. The rest of my favorite links are here.